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Anders

Jeff -- great blog. One question to ponder, though, is this: what does innovation look like for the US in the areas (i.e. low cost software development) that we are losing (as you point out)? It's interesting that software/technology on one hand is the core for why cotton can stay ahead (you use software or technology to innovate in a *different* industry), but in a way it has a challenging time innovating on itself, so it were. Anyway, interesting topic.

Nick wilde

Ummm, doesn't this have more to do with Government subsidies than innovation. There are even farmers out there that get paid more to not grow stuff than grow it. Not just in US but in just about all first world economies. That's what a lot of developing nations are struggling with. I'd hate for any developing industries to model themselves on a system that relies on government subsidisation. I'd much rather they modelled themselves on industries where it is truly innovation that keeps them at the top.

Luca

A couple of thoughts...

Nick is absolutely right. The reason why the U.S. produces cotton is subsidies. However, there are other commodities that would still be healthily produced in the U.S. even without subsidies (e.g. soybeans).

Innovation can be a fleeting concept. You come up with a software innovation today in the U.S., and tomorrow it will be used by Indian software developers. However sometimes you can build big, heavy, expensive "anchors" so that innovation does not float away. Few developing countries can afford the expensive GPS-controlled combines that U.S. farmers rely on.

Finally, there's one thing in U.S. agriculture that you can't outsource to developing countries: highly productive farmland connected by fully-depreciated transportation infrastructure to end markets willing to pay top dollar for your commodities.

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